Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000179 0.000198 0.000219 0.000243 0.000270 0.000300 0.000335
2025-05-25 0.000142 0.000170 0.000202 0.000243 0.000293 0.000353 0.000431
2025-06-01 0.000119 0.000150 0.000188 0.000240 0.000308 0.000396 0.000518
2025-06-08 0.000101 0.000132 0.000174 0.000232 0.000312 0.000423 0.000587
2025-06-15 0.000091 0.000124 0.000169 0.000234 0.000331 0.000469 0.000687
2025-06-22 0.000084 0.000118 0.000166 0.000239 0.000351 0.000520 0.000800
2025-06-29 0.000075 0.000109 0.000157 0.000234 0.000356 0.000547 0.000879
2025-07-06 0.000067 0.000099 0.000146 0.000224 0.000351 0.000557 0.000932
2025-07-13 0.000062 0.000094 0.000143 0.000225 0.000363 0.000597 0.001040
2025-07-20 0.000059 0.000091 0.000141 0.000228 0.000380 0.000645 0.001170
2025-07-27 0.000055 0.000086 0.000137 0.000226 0.000387 0.000679 0.001276
2025-08-03 0.000052 0.000084 0.000136 0.000230 0.000405 0.000732 0.001429
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000080 0.000132 0.000229 0.000415 0.000774 0.001573
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000076 0.000128 0.000227 0.000424 0.000816 0.001725
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000072 0.000123 0.000224 0.000429 0.000852 0.001872
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000067 0.000116 0.000216 0.000424 0.000866 0.001968
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000065 0.000115 0.000219 0.000441 0.000929 0.002198
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000063 0.000115 0.000223 0.000462 0.001005 0.002476
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000060 0.000110 0.000219 0.000462 0.001032 0.002631
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000056 0.000104 0.000209 0.000451 0.001028 0.002701
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000054 0.000102 0.000210 0.000463 0.001086 0.002960
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000213 0.000481 0.001162 0.003287
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000051 0.000099 0.000211 0.000487 0.001208 0.003536